Yeah, I have the Kansas game as almost the same tier of Michigan in the "not really winnable" category (not saying they are anywhere as good as Michigan was, just around the same expected result)...
As for the rest, I put them all as toss up in OOC outside Utah Tech. We should win, we should do well in the rest.. but things have an interesting way of surprising or disappointing early in a season..
Where I differ on conference play... Theres no reason why we shouldnt have 1 or fewer losses... We get Boise and Fresno at home. Huge games, Id hope big crowds. We avoid playing AFA and CSU and Wyoming... Then we get the bottom half of the conference.. Hawaii- not really worried, Utah St. they just fired their HC and Im sure there will be a lot of disarray all season. SDSU, SJSU, UNR... I dont see them as being competitive vs us. SJSU lost their HC and their QB, basically what had dragged them into being any form of success over the past few seasons. Oregon St... who knows, they lost their staffs, they lost the talent advantages of P5 affiliation etc.. Im not really calling it a conference game anyways...
I can see us sitting 9-3 heading into the conference title game or better simply by the grace of a lucky draw conference schedule. The bottom tier of the MWC isnt going to be good. They werent good last year and Im not big on any of their hires except UNM getting Mendenhall.
