There will be a shuffling of Basketball power rankings among G5 conferences and here's why.
Revenue sharing starts in 90 days. It allows teams to share up to $ 20 million in revenue with their players. P4 conference teams are almost unanimous in their declaration they will spend the entire $ 20 million from the get go. The teams have the $$ to do it. Rutgers has the lowest revenue of all the P4 teams and it is still $ 110 million. Most have committed to a 78% football, 18% men's basketball and 4% to the rest of the programs formula that will share $3.6 with their 13 basketball scholarship players.
So how does this affect Mid-Major basketball? Most mid major teams don't have near the revenue to share that a P4 team has. UNLV brings in between $ 48 Mill and $ 50 Mil. Wyoming brings in $ 43 Mil. Less than 1/2 the lowest revenue of the P4's.
To make things more interesting mid-majors are split into essentially two groups. Those with football and those without. THOSE WITHOUT FOOTBALL CAN GIVE NEARLY THEIR ENTIRE REVENUE SPLIT TO BASKETBALL.
Take USF as an example. Their entire '24 revenue was $ 28 million. Their men's and women's teams each generated nearly equal amounts. Let us say they share 1/4 of their revenue with players for a total of $ 7 million with each of their men's and women's BB teams getting $ 3.5 mil and $ 2.5 each with the rest going to their other sports. Magically, USF can now match P4 inputs and compete. If UNLV can also afford a 1/4 split then $ 9.5 mil goes to football, $ 1.5 men's BB, $ 500 to women's BB and $ 500 to all the rest on the sports. We will be woefully behind the P4 and NON football conferences.
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big East, Big West, Horizon, MAAC, MAC, Summit, WCC. These are the D1 conferences that don't have football. IMO, the Big East will be the winner with way more $$ per team available for BB. Seton Hall brings in the lowest amount of revenue for sports in the Big East at $ 34 million. Working the same % model as above they will have between $ 4 mil and $ 5 mil for men's BB. Villanova's revenue sits at $ 68 million. They are in a position to spend $ 9+ million on their men's players.
And all this is before NIL.