Recency bias is also a thing and people go SDSU is trash based on a few down years.
They also were right there with Boise not so long ago.
I'm not suggesting the gap between PAC/MWC is this massive void but it does exist.
It's simple question.
All jobs between PAC and MWC outside of Boise State and UNLV are open. You have your proverbial pick of the litter as a HC. They all want your services. The pays the same etc.
Start listing what jobs you would take based on potential in order and see how long your list is before you name your first MWC school.
Thats a huge gap of variables... Whose got higher expectations? Are you considering football related reasons or do you like sunshine and beaches? Are you stepping stone or long term?
0- Listing as option 0 because its a bit unfair to every other program- AFA- coaching at the academy has its limitations, but they love their football, they love the coach, and they have ability as a program to be something much better every year because everyone wants to play the academies.
1- if Im a stepping stone guy with chops and 0 expectations I take the UNM job. You throw a season in there at 6-6 and your off out of ABQ. 6-6 is a pretty low bar
2- If I'm thinking long term than I'm choosing Wyoming or Fresno (ouch hurts to say that because Fresno is...).
3- Probably similar jobs are CSU, SJSU, USU, UTEP considering your statement that pay is all the same
4- If I'm thinking coach football, maybe win a bowl game, but man San Diego has nice weather and beaches...
5- OSU if you want high expectations but future limitations and likely to be fired in 3 years even if you make a bowl game... they're a mdi-tier G5 program that hasn't realized it for a decade.
6- WSU- long and short term are balanced. Pullman is a great college town but you're probably looking to move away quickly or their expectations force you out sooner than you'd like.
XXXXXXXX. Reno- Pretty obvious its the worst job in America right?
Leaving Hawaii off as well.. I d consider them a different category of job and not exactly in the same class of evaluation.