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SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

To be seen how good OSU is. I think they will be better than most thing, but not top 25 worthy.
I just don't see us being a top 10 teams with 1 win in the top 25, being Kansas if they win this week, and I don't see Kansas recovering from a loss to us and breaking the top 20. They are good, but they are sweeping the Big 12 good.
Houston isn't good. Syracuse is picked at the bottom of the ACC which doesn't look that good.
It puts us in the driver seat for the G5 spot for sure.
Perhaps the MW ranks higher than the Big 12 this year by the end of the year. But again we need Boise to go undefeated other than losing to us, and Fresno taking care of business outside of playing us and Boise (not sure if they play each other this year).
The bottom of the MW looks pretty bad, though UNM and UNR look a bit better than expected. There needs to be little parity for the MW to end up a top 4 conference.
Except all those wins would be better than anything Liberty or JMU came up with and that includes Houston. They beat absolutely nobody.

SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

Coaches' Poll is out. UNLV got 9 votes tied with Liberty

Florida State didn't just drop from number 10 to out of the top 25, it appears they didn't get a single vote for the top 25, now that is a big time
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freefall!

ESPN Plus Wrapping Up Week 1

Meh, Michigan played a really vanilla game to not show to much before Texas game next week. They're breaking in a bunch of new guys and staff...
And Reno barely beat Troy.. I'm not putting stock in how they look in a loss and a close win...
Same with Boise, I think there is definitely cause for concern, same thing I've been saying about being overhyped, but we'll see if Oregon steps it up or if Boise continues to burn Jeanty...because I don't see Jeanty averaging 4-6 TDs a week..
The Boise game should be a cause for concern. 322 yards in the air and allowed 12/19 on 3rd down. They're offense is legitimately good, but their defense should be an issue in most of their games.
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SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

To be seen how good OSU is. I think they will be better than most thing, but not top 25 worthy.
I just don't see us being a top 10 teams with 1 win in the top 25, being Kansas if they win this week, and I don't see Kansas recovering from a loss to us and breaking the top 20. They are good, but they are sweeping the Big 12 good.
Houston isn't good. Syracuse is picked at the bottom of the ACC which doesn't look that good.
It puts us in the driver seat for the G5 spot for sure.
Perhaps the MW ranks higher than the Big 12 this year by the end of the year. But again we need Boise to go undefeated other than losing to us, and Fresno taking care of business outside of playing us and Boise (not sure if they play each other this year).
The bottom of the MW looks pretty bad, though UNM and UNR look a bit better than expected. There needs to be little parity for the MW to end up a top 4 conference.
They have the team to be able to do so.. alot will hinge on Daniels remaining healthy all year. If he goes down again, their outlook will change as Ballard isnt the same dynamic threat despite being a good backup. They ahve a really good pair of corners and it will make throwing against them really difficult. Its still TBD how the rest of the conference looks although most people think KState is still a better team, not me, but Ive got a bit of bias, lol...
Any P4 champion will likely be ranked, the polls are slighted towards that, even with the number of Big10 and SEC teams there are.

Let’s talk about Utah Tech (week 2)

I wrote this on X, but I think he's politicking to get ranked because of the importance of being the first G5 in that poll. It would be hard to get ahead of a Liberty team should they go undefeated if we arent already ranked ahead of them. I know the rankings arent the only thing that goes into the playoff rankings, but its a consideration for public opinion. It helps the numbers game for SOS and it helps the overall viewership of the program. Especially since our schedule is very front loaded with the top flight teams in conference earlier in the year. By November, our fate will be decided up to the point that we cant control- ie- if we make it here with say 1 loss or 1 conference loss, there isnt much bite in the last 5 games to move the needle, other than just taking care of business.

SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

Extremely unlikely but if we went undefeated with two wins over BSU, win over FSU, OSU, KU, Houston, Syracuse we would be top 10. Liberty, JMU, Tulane got up to 17 without beating anyone.
To be seen how good OSU is. I think they will be better than most thing, but not top 25 worthy.
I just don't see us being a top 10 teams with 1 win in the top 25, being Kansas if they win this week, and I don't see Kansas recovering from a loss to us and breaking the top 20. They are good, but they are sweeping the Big 12 good.
Houston isn't good. Syracuse is picked at the bottom of the ACC which doesn't look that good.
It puts us in the driver seat for the G5 spot for sure.
Perhaps the MW ranks higher than the Big 12 this year by the end of the year. But again we need Boise to go undefeated other than losing to us, and Fresno taking care of business outside of playing us and Boise (not sure if they play each other this year).
The bottom of the MW looks pretty bad, though UNM and UNR look a bit better than expected. There needs to be little parity for the MW to end up a top 4 conference.
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MWC Ends Pac2 Scheduling Agreement

That's the way I see it. They want to be flexible to rebuild or wait for something better to come along. It actually makes sense to get out of the agreement if you want to rebuild for the 2026 season. They will have more room to poach MWC teams financially. We can give a year notice and they won't have to pay the scheduling agreement poaching fees. They are still locked into the agreement until August 2, 2025 so no poaching activity will happen until after that but, they would have to do it quick so that we could give our one year notice quickly if we were to consider making the move to the P12. One outlier that may influence what MWC teams do will be the renegotiation of the media rights contract next year. If we can get enough money it may not be worth it to jump to a conference which essentially has no media rights. I guess we will see next year how it all goes.
Indeed. Their situation this year straight up sucks. They are paying a lot to be a non member of the MW without the possibility to go the the MW championship game. Sure it helped them fill up their schedule this year, but they are still essentially independent.
Going fully independent next season will save them money, and they have a bit more time to put together a schedule.
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Let’s talk about Utah Tech (week 2)

I think this may go like UTEP did last year. Bad team with a bad run offense. Didn't throw it a ton, won easily, but didn't put up crazy numbers.
Odom has a point though about the importance of getting ranked and national attention. You have to play games a little differently if you are truly eying a Playoff stop. We kinda have to win big.
But unlike the UTEP game, who had a decent offense in their own right, we will likely shut down UTU's offense.
I agree I think you need to throw it a little early. Just to get more real game reps with Sluka. But I can see the second half go much like it did last week, though it may start in the second quarter.
I also agree Hajj should get reps if we are up big in the second half.
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SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

Absolutely no freaking way. That would mean UNLV would work it's way up to the top 10 in both polls likely including the CFP rankings.
we could go undefeated, including beating Boise Twice after Boise beats Oregon this week. Still ain't happening
The five top rated conference champions will most likely include the SEC, Big 12, Big 10, ACC and one other which is most likely from the MWC. While it is highly unlikely, it is very possible for the Big 12 and ACC to end up with a conference champion that isn't ranked in the top 15, and it is even possible that the conference champion could be a team outside of the top 25 depending on which teams make the conference championship. Not sure how past years have gone, but the ACC and Big 12 are most likely to have lower level teams in the top 25, while the SEC and Big 10 will most likely have the majority of higher level programs. It is very possible that the MWC could end up higher ranked than a few other teams in the playoff even if ranked outside of the top 10.

Let’s talk about Utah Tech (week 2)

Play everybody, keep playbook closed and just take the 42-0 victory and move onto Kansas.
They need to win the first half against Utah Tech as easily as Houston. Sorry Houston, but you should have been down 28-0 at the half. Need to keep an easy win and leave the playbook closed until the big game against Kansas. Kansas has the potential to be a game changer for UNLV football in regards to being ranked for the first time every in the regular season, and in regards to it being an impact game that puts us out to the media as the Cinderella team for 2024!

SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

Also depend upon how the top 10 shake up or shake out. #10 Florida State just lost twice in 8 days, for an example
yeah, but the preseason polls are a joke. I kind of wish they didn't even come out with rankings until after the games start. Otherwise, it's just pure speculation, but it does make it harder for lower teams to get in and easier for higher ranked teams to stay ranked.

MWC Ends Pac2 Scheduling Agreement

I think it is as simple as they can't afford to pay us a million dollars every game next season.
The article I saw mentioned that thr "two sides were too far apart". Now considering the context, I think they are referring to the current agreement that pays the MW a cool mill per game.
I do think that also seems to be the case with some sort of merger. That our the PAC truly just wants to rebuild or hope they get picked up by another conference. I think conceding to the payouts that a MW merger will bring is too much for them.
That's the way I see it. They want to be flexible to rebuild or wait for something better to come along. It actually makes sense to get out of the agreement if you want to rebuild for the 2026 season. They will have more room to poach MWC teams financially. We can give a year notice and they won't have to pay the scheduling agreement poaching fees. They are still locked into the agreement until August 2, 2025 so no poaching activity will happen until after that but, they would have to do it quick so that we could give our one year notice quickly if we were to consider making the move to the P12. One outlier that may influence what MWC teams do will be the renegotiation of the media rights contract next year. If we can get enough money it may not be worth it to jump to a conference which essentially has no media rights. I guess we will see next year how it all goes.

SI’s Pat Forde on College Football Playoffs after week 1

Not to be Debbie downer but I think it would take us 10 wins..

I think 9 will be really tough.

Syracuse/Boise/Oregon State/KU are all going to be tough games.

Fresno won't be easy either.

But man if we got into the CFP I'd have Odom's baby.
Before looking at the Rebel's defense, it was only a dream. Now, at least, we have hope. GO REBELS!
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