The really interesting thing is going to be what the PAC does now. There are only a handful of schools on the west, or really, anywhere in the country, that would be attractive enough for them to go after.
So, either...
1. The PAC tries to merge with the AAC or similar conference, forming a western pod of the conference.
2. The PAC adds schools like USU, UNM, etc (if they haven't signed the agreement that UNLV signed), but even if they do, every school that departs still has to pay that large fee, which ultimately will make it's way back to the remaining MWC schools.
3. The PAC goes with it's tail between it's legs to the MWC and tries to do a merger. They have less than 2 years until they need to reach 8 members, so not a ton of time. And with shorter durations, any departing schools have higher exit fees, making them less likely to go.
4. The PAC fails to reach 8 members and disbands. The remaining schools are on their own to try to get membership into whatever conference they can get into.
So, either...
1. The PAC tries to merge with the AAC or similar conference, forming a western pod of the conference.
2. The PAC adds schools like USU, UNM, etc (if they haven't signed the agreement that UNLV signed), but even if they do, every school that departs still has to pay that large fee, which ultimately will make it's way back to the remaining MWC schools.
3. The PAC goes with it's tail between it's legs to the MWC and tries to do a merger. They have less than 2 years until they need to reach 8 members, so not a ton of time. And with shorter durations, any departing schools have higher exit fees, making them less likely to go.
4. The PAC fails to reach 8 members and disbands. The remaining schools are on their own to try to get membership into whatever conference they can get into.