Correct me if I'm wrong, but my understanding is that the "2-year" notice is actually anything over 1 year. Think I read that on this board, or maybe on the WCS board.
Relative to WSU's 2025 schedule, it is a MAJOR problem IMHO. We have 6 games scheduled, with 3 at home. Most schools have their 2025 schedules filled. We are in a real pickle. Another reason for the Pac-2 to poach UNLV and one other MW school, stand pat at 8 for now, and focus on the 2025 schedule.
Ok, so the timeline is less of an issue for us… if it comes after the season is over even it doesn’t change any costs to join the PAC hypothetically.
The timeline IS an issue for any AAC members since they have to give 27 months notice or face a “negotiated buyout”… I’d imagine that any single school mentioned, much less two (Memphis and Tulane), is going to be in a strong negotiating position if their loss was essentially going to destroy the deal the AAC has with ESPN. Is the PAC going to “help” with fees that they don’t even know what they are yet?
Next, let’s say you’re the PAC and you’re already paying $43 mil in exit fees, plus “helping” the 4 teams you already poached… it doesn’t make sense to me that they’d be paying 100% because they’d absolutely want those 4 to “have skin in the game”… so at $17 mil per team that’s another $34 mil… now we’re up to $87 mil.
Add that to the $34 the 4 leaving are paying and you’re at $121 mil… I think… all of which becomes payable in a couple of weeks. I just read the agreement and I believe this to be the case so…
Now you’re the remaining MW members… I don’t know what portion of this Hawaii would be entitled to, but we know it’s only 7 who get a vote… ALL of them are going to want their share and I doubt they’re going to want to let it sit in The MW bank account very long. I’m not sure what the conference bylaws are for distribution but I’d imagine that they’d want to distribute at least 90% of it… that’s $108.7 million. Let’s say Hawaii gets a half share, that’s $14.5 mil each… even if Hawaii got a full share it’s $13.6 each.
For the time being let’s say that no viable candidates are found to join the remaining members, for which any of the members are willing to fork over any cash to help join… personally that makes no sense to me anyway. You can add any number of dregs who are willing to join you free of charge if you’re trying to band aid the MW back together… not to mention you’re still at 8 for the moment and don’t HAVE to add anyone just yet.
So now you’re a MW team sitting on roughly $14 million and the PAC says you’re welcome to join, but you have to pay your own exit fee and we’re gonna hold back the difference between what you had to pay and what the other teams had to pay to get in from the first year of our new TV contract from you.
The MW had a buy 4 and get everyone else half off sale and didn’t know it.
I’m sure there are holes but…
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