The only “known” year in and year out is Boise State… and their off season hasn’t even started yet. I suspect that they’ll find a way, because they always seem to, but fortunes can change quickly.
Everyone else in the conference has “potential” to be decent in any given season, but not by that much more.
If you look at the last 4 years of conference play it’s been reasonably dominant performances by the defector 5 compared to the remaining members… they’ve won roughly 61% of their games compared to 42% (thanks UNR and New Mexico). But over the last 2 years the gap has closed… they’ve won roughly defectors have averaged 4 wins and the remaining members have averaged 3.5 wins. CSU is the only one of them to have improved their win totals over the last two years, Boise has stayed the same, and the other three have declined.
As far as how OSU and WSU go? Who knows, but I would suspect them to usually be in the upper half at least initially.
Still better than the MW for sure, but aside from Boise there’s not a lot that you can count on.
And when they add whatever turd they have to add they’re gonna take a hit AND they’re barely going to be a conference. The AAC will have WAY more opportunities to bring back quality wins and East coast media bias is going to play a HUGE role in how those teams are perceived.
