Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Screw it. I'm not going to try and overanalyze it. Just turn it on, root for the Rebs, hope for a win, expecting a loss. And with a loss the wagons will really start circling.This is honestly the best chance the Rebs have for a win over their next 5.
Stats don't always tell the whole story. But typically are a decent barometer of how a team is performing.
Wyoming's QB is less efficient than Armani.
Their defense is struggling...
And yet they are 3-1. (Damn near 4-0)
9.5 line feels high...
But considering Sanchez' record in these type of games..
Maybe not..
Screw it. I'm not going to try and overanalyze it. Just turn it on, root for the Rebs, hope for a win, expecting a loss. And with a loss the wagons will really start circling.
Nah, midseason wont and shouldn't happen. I mean it's just it removes a chunk of any doubt...I actually think the Rebs could win this game...
That said..
If they lose and how they lose might matter going forward.
I don't think the AD will make mid season firing.
But...
If the Rebs are getting blown out in conference games, I see no point in keeping him around if they fall out of bowl contention.
There are way to many teams in the MWC winning games against P5 competition for there to be any excuses anymore. Not in year 5.
And its not just Boise doing it.
Its Wyoming, Hawaii and San Jose State who all suffer from the same crap facilities and budget issues UNLV does...
Nah, midseason wont and shouldn't happen. I mean it's just it removes a chunk of any doubt...
If it gets to that point, you’ve been around long enough to know what happens. Especially since UNLV has never formed a strong culture. Finger pointing, side choosing, blame game, not caring, just going through the motions and playing out the string. Usually it’s not public, but it can become that if reporters press, sometimes they don’t have to. But you hear the leaks at times like that.I don't think it would either.
Don't think it should to be quite honest.
But devil's advocate here...
If you were sitting at 1-6 the coach is essentially a lame duck...
Is there any downside to it then?
It would be completely different from the Rice situation where there was still plenty of season left..
I have to think San Jose, Reno, Hawaii and Wyoming all having P5 wins is just more ammunition.
I can't imagine their relationship is improving any.
If it gets to that point, you’ve been around long enough to know what happens. Especially since UNLV has never formed a strong culture. Finger pointing, side choosing, blame game, not caring, just going through the motions and playing out the string. Usually it’s not public, but it can become that if reporters press, sometimes they don’t have to. But you hear the leaks at times like that.
In other words, ugly.
Puff pieces by fan boys? Never happens with UNLV.As negative as I probably come off these days in regards to Sanchez, I am rooting for the guy.
I've wanted every coach since Robinson to be 'the guy'..
I don't want another sub .500 season.
This much losing wears on you.
Last year before the Reno game if you asked me lose to Reno and Sanchez gets replaced or win...
I'll take the win everytime.
What I don't want to see, is if UNLV finishes outside bowl contention, puff pieces defending him, or moving the goal posts 'It was always going to take 5 or 6 years' or 'He deserves one more year to reap the benefits of the facility he helped build'..
As negative as I probably come off these days in regards to Sanchez, I am rooting for the guy.
I've wanted every coach since Robinson to be 'the guy'..
I don't want another sub .500 season.
This much losing wears on you.
Last year before the Reno game if you asked me lose to Reno and Sanchez gets replaced or win...
I'll take the win everytime.
What I don't want to see, is if UNLV finishes outside bowl contention, puff pieces defending him, or moving the goal posts 'It was always going to take 5 or 6 years' or 'He deserves one more year to reap the benefits of the facility he helped build'..
Puff pieces by fan boys? Never happens with UNLV.
I am with you in that I want to see him succeed butthen he frustrates the hell out of me with his refusal to give other QB’s a shot when it is so apparent that Armani is not a QB.
He has to know that the game this weekend represents his future at UNLV. No matter how strongly he believes every game left on the schedule is winnable reality has to start setting in should the game start going south.
Yeah, I was being completely facetious.Oh it does..
About the spread..
Sharps will probably continue to hammer it if the spread stays under 10 for Wyo. we likely lose by more than 14 but they’ll feel safe under 10.
Graney, who we are mainly thinking of, will start putting out fluff pieces from “anonymous sources” how UNLV’s administration is split on wanting to keep Sanchez since they see the potential for next year’s team to go to a bowl game (his likely spin, not my thoughts at all).
Of course, his MO is to keep UNLV down and see his beloved STDU propelled to the top of the PAC or Big12 conference.
That guy is still writing here?Graney, who we are mainly thinking of, will start putting out fluff pieces from “anonymous sources” how UNLV’s administration is split on wanting to keep Sanchez since they see the potential for next year’s team to go to a bowl game (his likely spin, not my thoughts at all).
Of course, his MO is to keep UNLV down and see his beloved STDU propelled to the top of the PAC or Big12 conference.
Opening at +7 at some obscure offshore book means nothing. The line opened at +10 or +10.5 at every book here in town.So why wasn’t the “SMART MONEY” coming in at +7 or is the “SMART MONEY on Wyoming? Inquiring minds want to know.
So why wasn’t the “SMART MONEY” coming in at +7 or is the “SMART MONEY on Wyoming? Inquiring minds want to know.
I was outta town when the line came out and was told the line opened at -7 and quickly moved to -10. If that was only at offshore betting sites I stand corrected. But then again the real Smart Money sill look for an edge wherever it can find it, Vegas or elsewhere.
So was that smart money or fan money that bet the offshore line up to -10 from -7?Right.
Which my guess is that it gets bet down some...
9.5 - 10 feels high..
Wyoming had a number of injuries in the Tulsa game.
Honestly you look at their games and they could easily be 1-3 instead of 3-1.
But to their credit they have won despite their defense not playing particularly well (sort of) and their QB is struggling to complete passes. (Sound familiar)
Their defense has surrendered a lot of yards but have forced some timely turnovers. And they have 18 sacks already on the year (7 in one game) Even if you take out the 7 sack performance they would avg nearly 3 a game which is still solid.
They do defend the run reasonable well but they have played a number of pass happy teams.
Man for man UNLV has as much talent as Wyoming. You could probably argue the Rebs might have the more athletic team overall.
The 9.5/10 line feels inflated. I think we'll see it drop as the game gets closer and the 'smart' money comes in.
There are a lot of things that point to UNLV being competitive in this game if not winning outright...
I'm still not sure when we 'line them up' I can predict a win though...
Right now, I'm leaning Wyo 27 UNLV 24 in a game UNLV controls the yardage totals but finds a way to lose..
I hear ya Pete.
We will probably disagree here a bit, but I think he is reluctant to make the switch for a few reasons.
1) There isn't a comfortable spot in the schedule to give a guy like Oblad his first career start.
If it were SJSU at home this week..Maybe you make that move (even with their win over Arkansas).
But on the road at Wyoming? A place the Rebs tend to struggle? Tough call.
Definitely not vs Boise. Arguably the best team in the conference.
Vandy? Maybe. They are hardly world beaters, but still an SEC team on the road.
Fresno? On a Friday night on the road? Tall task.
SDSU. Its at home, but a Rocky Long defense could be a brutal introduction for Oblad.
The next spot might be against CSU. And thats still a road game. And if you're needing to make a QB change there the season is probably over in terms of a bowl. No point in taking a look to the possible future, if you probably aren't going to be there.
2) I agree, I don't think there has been a true QB competition. That said, I don't think Oblad or any of the other QBs have ever really pulled away from or truly challenged Armani enough since Stanton. It makes it an easier call for Sanchez.
Its frustrating. I think there is enough talent on the team to get to six wins. Or at least be in the hunt. But times running out and the schedule doesn't get easier..
So was that smart money or fan money that bet the offshore line up to -10 from -7?
There is really never a really good spot to start a freshman QB unless you are an Alabama type school vs a low tier directional school but with that said Wyoming is very good against the run and horrible against the pass. This game sets up very well for the emergence of Oblad and if he fails so be it but I do believe he will get a shot in this game although he wont get the start.
There is also the possibility that Gilliam could be back and even though he is a better runner than Oblad I don't think he will be ready yet.
The kicker in this game would be if Oblad lights it up passing and CW runs for 120+ yds because Wyoming has to respect the pass.
Holy CRAPSanchez Era
Top passing yards in season
2015 Blake Decker 1713 yards
2017 Armani Rogers 1471 yards
2018 Max Gilliam 1394 yards
2015 Kurt Palendech 794 yards
Top passing TDs in season
2018 Max Gilliam 14 tds
2015 Blake Decker 12 tds
2018 Armani Rogers 10 tds
2015 Kurt Palendech 9 tds
Holy CRAP
They have struggles, and arguably comparable weaknesses/talent/struggles as us.
But they are 3-1, not 1-3.
They can find ways to win, despite their weaknesses, their defense can at least turn the ball over to give them a chance.
Coaching could be a difference?
9.5 can be inflated, but again I wouldn't be surprised if we lose by 2+ TD's. Again on the road with rough travel, and altitude to deal with. At least the weather shouldn't be terrible yet.
But again, Sanchez tends to pull out a surprise win every year. I hope it's not this week. At least it shouldn't be that big of a surprise. I'd like the win without it feeling flukey.
He does have that surprise win every year.
He has also suffered at least one surprise loss or loss where the Rebs were expected to be competitive and were blown out.
Its such a tough game to get a read on.
If UNLV won outright I will not be shocked.
If UNLV loses by double digits, I won't be shocked.
I had a good read on the SUU game.
I was way off on the Arkansas State game. I figured UNLV might lose, but never saw that result.
I had a good read on Northwestern. I felt like the Rebs would be competitive for three quarters.
But this game I have no idea. I look at the numbers. It looks like UNLV should be competitive. Wyoming has found ways to win games they really didn't play well in.
Who knows...
Holy CRAP
I'll end this debate. UNLV loses 42-28. Armani passes for 138 yds, 1 TD and 2 Int's.
You obviously know nothing about Wyoming. It has some of, if not the best facilities in the MWC.Its Wyoming, Hawaii and San Jose State who all suffer from the same crap facilities and budget issues UNLV does...