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Had to go low because of Deckers health. If he can't play our defense can only win so many games.With 5 games down, I wanted to gauge the feeling on this board.
I know that this is all based on stats and numbers, and it's kind of hard to "dispute" any of these, but I don't put any weight into rpi's projections. Look at CSU game, for example. A 41-21 loss? CSU hasn't put up more than 40 except against Savannah State. We haven't given up 40 points all year.... What gives?RealtimeRPI.com Predicts the following:
10-10 San Jose St. 24-25 L
10-16 at Fresno St. 25-32 L
10-31 Boise St. 23-41 L
11-07 Hawaii 30-22 W
11-14 at Colorado St. 21-41 L
11-21 S. Diego St. 21-25 L
11-28 at Wyoming 29-28 W
GAMER Projected Record: 4-8
Interesting two losses are predicted within 4 points.
RealtimeRPI.com Predicts the following:
10-10 San Jose St. 24-25 L
10-16 at Fresno St. 25-32 L
10-31 Boise St. 23-41 L
11-07 Hawaii 30-22 W
11-14 at Colorado St. 21-41 L
11-21 S. Diego St. 21-25 L
11-28 at Wyoming 29-28 W
GAMER Projected Record: 4-8]
Very possible, considering our history. Sanchez isnt exactly an historian...three losses in a row vs SJSU, FResno, and Bosie? I dont know or can fathom a bigger odds of that happening.
I went with 5-7, but could see things going as well as 7-5. Next week has let down written all over it, another test for Sanchez. Hawaii and Wyoming are the two must haves the rest of the way.
Basing this on Decker being healthy.RealtimeRPI.com Predicts the following:
10-10 San Jose St. 24-25 L
10-16 at Fresno St. 25-32 L
10-31 Boise St. 23-41 L
11-07 Hawaii 30-22 W
11-14 at Colorado St. 21-41 L
11-21 S. Diego St. 21-25 L
11-28 at Wyoming 29-28 W
GAMER Projected Record: 4-8
Interesting two losses are predicted within 4 points.
Agree wholeheartedly with your comments. With the win at unr, sjsu does become that pivotal game for a winning season. I am so looking forward to Saturday and the team being .500.Odd as this may sound I think the SJSU game is the most pivotal game of the season. Winning three straight and getting to .500 plus 2-0 in conference may be even more important than the Reno win. I know Reno is the rivalry game and everything that comes with that. But a win over SJSU in some ways legitimizes the Reno win washing away any possible talk of a fluke etc. If the Rebels were to lose this game all the excitement with the casual fan would probably turn into 'same old Rebels' sentiment. A win though could mean an extra 3-5k fans for the Boise game creating an actual homefield atmosphere. It will keep the student body engaged as well.
If the Rebels beat San Jose I think they get to a bowl this year. I never thought that was possible at the start of the season.
Those are the exact W's and L's I was going with as I read this thread.Basing this on Decker being healthy.
Vs San Jose State W 28-27. I actually think outside of Boise and possibly CSU this is toughest game remaining.
Vs Fresno State W 28-20. Bulldogs a real mess this year. There was a time when they were really tough at home and I wouldn't have given Rebs a shot. Not so much anymore.
Vs Boise State L 31-17
Bronco defense is very good. I think Rebs hang tough until mid 3rd quarter. Two late scores make final score look worse than play of the game.
Vs Hawaii W 35-21. Hate to say it but by the time this game gets here Hawaii may have cashed it in. Between tough schedule, brutal travel, and poor results on the field Norm Chow may lose this team soon.
Vs Colorado State L 27-10 Rams not as good as last year but still a little ahead of UNLV in overall talent. Add in potentially poor weather and it results in only bad loss for Rebels in second half of season
Vs San Diego State L 27-24
Aztecs get late score to put UNLV bowl hopes in serious jeopardy.
Vs Wyoming W 17-13
Weather again plays a role but Rebels win ugly affair to get to 6-6 and bowl eligibility.
Trying to be as realistic as possible, so with Decker being out I would probably switch my prediction to San Jose State by a similar score. I think Palandech will play better than many expect but it might not be enough.Those are the exact W's and L's I was going with as I read this thread.
I don't know about a let down spot here. I think and hope that SBS is gonna have a nice crowd, and the team will feed off that. The city is buzzing after the win at UNR. Between putting up 80 points 2 weeks ago, winning the biggest game on the road in Reno, I think people are gonna be intrigued about what's going on at UNLV and will support.
And along with that, Sanchez doesn't seem to have any problem getting the guys to be ready to go every Saturday.