Outside of UNLV and BSU, there isn't a single team in the PAC or MWC that would move the needle at all. The only thing that will matter is the out of conference schedule. If UNLV can in the future have a schedule similar to this season, then I believe they will get the nod over BSU 9 out of 10 times in the future with a similar record. The only thing that moved the needle at all for BSU this season was the Oregon game and the two games verse UNLV.
How?
Look at current MWC/PAC lineup.
Exclude UNLV and Boise State.
Every single coaching job is available. Pays the same everywhere.
Start listing the most attractive jobs and where you think you would have the best opportunity to win immediately and tell me how far down the list you get before you reach a MWC school.
Second point if UNLV and Boise had similiar OOC schedules and the results were the same. And then both ran the table in their respective conferences there is no way in any universe UNLV gets the nod over Boise State.
I just can't see it.
I'd take
Fresno, SDSU, CSU, OSU, WSU jobs before any MWC job.
I have to get all the way down to USU job before I might consider taking a MWC job.
In all likelihood the PAC media deal will be 3-5 million more per year than the MWC deal (possibly more) They took some of the largest markets and historically best programs in the conference. That alone over a three to 5 year period gives them an edge over MWC schools going forward.
We've had recent success and we're pointed in a good direction, but let's not pretend SDSU and Fresno's runs are ancient history and they can't bounce back. USU was bowl eligible pretty regularly. CSU won a bunch of games this year. WSU was bowl eligible this year.