PAC will be solid top to bottom.
You know Utah State with Bronco will be good.
SDSU has a ton of potential to be good. Boise is Boise and Fresno is going to be at least solid every year. CSU is the question mark really, but there is potential there too.
OSU and WAZZU are also question marks. But again much better potential there vs a UTEP or a UNM for example. Depends on how they weather this offseason.
Not a lot of fat there. Their 8th member most likely will be that. But you can get away with that.
Top to bottom I think the PAC will be the best G6. AAC is pretty good at the top but have a lot of fat these days too. The MW will look like an A5 Japanese Wagyu ribeye
The only “known” year in and year out is Boise State… and their off season hasn’t even started yet. I suspect that they’ll find a way, because they always seem to, but fortunes can change quickly.
Everyone else in the conference has “potential” to be decent in any given season, but not by that much more.
If you look at the last 4 years of conference play it’s been reasonably dominant performances by the defector 5 compared to the remaining members… they’ve won roughly 61% of their games compared to 42% (thanks UNR and New Mexico). But over the last 2 years the gap has closed… they’ve won roughly defectors have averaged 4 wins and the remaining members have averaged 3.5 wins. CSU is the only one of them to have improved their win totals over the last two years, Boise has stayed the same, and the other three have declined.
As far as how OSU and WSU go? Who knows, but I would suspect them to usually be in the upper half at least initially.
Still better than the MW for sure, but aside from Boise there’s not a lot that you can count on.
And when they add whatever turd they have to add they’re gonna take a hit AND they’re barely going to be a conference. The AAC will have WAY more opportunities to bring back quality wins and East coast media bias is going to play a HUGE role in how those teams are perceived.