But the 3 year revolving door has worked so well to this point.
No, wait…
The same people espousing that are the real reason for the state of the program for the past 12 years but they’ll never own up to it while continuing to call for more of the same.
I don't know that I disagree with this sentiment, but I also think it's a simplistic view of the situation. I personally didn't like the Rice firing--but that was systemic pressure put on the AD from certain boosters.
However, I can understand how people looked at Rice's bottom line and wanted to move on. Each year progressively worse, no dancing 3 years in a row for a team that had been to the big dance 6 out of the last 7 years and there were definite questions about him constructing a team and managing a locker room.
They try to replace him with Cronin, who lets be honest would have been a huge upgrade but you don't seal the deal and he instead leverages us for a contract extension at UC. You actually hire Chris Beard and manage to botch that process so badly in optics and contractual security that he's hired for 11 days. Data shows that guy wins everywhere he goes.
Menzies was another pressure from the administration who didn't like the optics. And after Beard ran everyone off that last Rice squad they were brutal, but then showed improvement the following year with good recruiting and some scheduling smoke and mirrors. Had he made the dance in his 3rd year instead of regressing I think he gets an extension.
So you bring in Otz after being unable to sign Jaime Dixon who was your target when Pitt decided they wanted the buy out because you couldn't keep your mouths shut about it and couldn't convince Porter Moser to Loyola-Chicago. Otz isn't a fit, DRF is trying so hard to make him into a splash hire that he's not and he doesn't get the horses he was able to get with the Jackrabbits. We get lucky and ISU decides to buy him out (and for the record I do think Otz is a pretty good coach if he can get someone else to recruit for him).
Now we hire Kevin who is the definition of a nepotism hire--never even was a head coach of an AAU team. And 3 out of 4 of his jobs after his basketball career had ended were directly tied to his fathers influence. He lands in 5th place in the MWC after having to replace a ton of players with Otz's departure. Seems like a bit of promise. Retools the squad with a ton of portal dudes and a pillow soft schedule and finishes 7th in a relatively thin conference.
I like Kevin and I hope he succeeds, but if we're at the same place we were 3 years ago--a couple of games over .500 with no shot at even the CBI, do you really want to extend him? That just seems like a sunk cost fallacy to me.
Stability is important when you're moving in the right direction, but stability for stability's sake is a weak metric for coach retention--especially in the modern game.
I'm not a cup half empty or half full guy, I just want to know exactly how much volume the cup can hold and how much is in there.