I am not sure what the deal would have been with UNLV and USU.I think the initial 10-15 million media package deal the PAC floated was tiered.
15 million - Original 6 plus Memphis/Tulane/USF/UTSA
That was dream scenario.
There were likely a few others until they got to doomsday scenario which was UNLV and USU.
that was the 10 million.
When UNLV said no, everything got derailed.
If they knew they had 10 million or more in a media deal regardless of who the 8th/9th/10th teams were they could have easily added UTEP or NMSU or Texas State and been done with it.
But they are probably staring at a media deal around 8 million with current configuration which would only be a slight bump from what Boise State is getting now and significantly less than WSU and OSU were getting in old PAC deal.
They had plans in place but definitely never thought it would get to this point.
Adding Gonzaga as full member means one more mouth to feed.
So even if they get Memphis and the package was 100 million you are splitting it 9 ways instead of 8.
As for adding NMSU. There's really no point in adding them now after landing UTEP. Las Cruces is a small market and only 50 miles from El Paso. It's not technically the same market but it may as well be.
Not saying UTEP was a better add but 700k potential viewers vs 100k is massive.
I think there are plenty of better options than NMSU at this point. I'm not bashing NMSU just saying with UNM and UTEP they become redundant. I think you'd rather add timezones.
Say MWC adds Toledo and NIU..I sure as crap would be also contacting WKU, Liberty Sam Houston and Texas State (again). WKU/Toledo and NIU would give Liberty travel partners for football. I'd even consider Liberty as Football only as well. WKU has been pretty solid in football and Sam Houston is playing well after moving up from FCS.
Doesn't do much for basketball but it increases footprint for football and adds Liberty who has some name value the last few years.
USU drops the value, but I don't think UNLV does much. For instance I think UNLV's value is at least as good as Tulane likely better. Vegas is a bigger market that NOLA, both teams do no have a great hold of their markets.
Hell the Vegas Market is technically better than Memphis, but I think they have a much better market penetration than us.
As for just adding a final team and rolling with it. I think they want to be strategic about this. It's one thing if a team is worth about 5 or 6 million or value like UTAH State, it is another if they are worth less than 1 million, which I think Texas State and Sac State are now. NMSU is probably pretty close to that as well.
Basically I think they would be getting more than 8 mill per team right now if they were allowed to stop at 7. The only detractor currently is Utah State. It is probably over 10 right now. Maybe Gonzaga, but who knows the other parts of that deal. There may be none, but there could some.