I think it’s been UNLV’s actual goal, even against the P12 when the P12 was in tact. And I think UNLV will continue to pursue that avenue. But there are some significant road blocks within the conference that may make it too difficult. Hell, even in the watered down, weak P2 there were significant obstacles for UNLV to climb, member induced obstacles.
So (hypothetically) if the #14 BYU team wins the Big XII they're a top 4 seed and get a bye. It doesn't matter that they're #14. Conf Champ gets a top 4 seed.
According to ESPN they said it is the 4 highest rated conference champions and everyone assumed it would be the P4. But that it is actually the 4 highest rated and that right now BSU is rated higher than anyone in the B12. BYU was 4th as they were rated ahead of BSU at the time and now that they lost Colorado is the highest rated out of the Big 12, but behind BSU, moving BSU into the top 4. Maybe he is wrong but that is what they were saying on ESPN radio this morning.
As long as they are the #4 ranked conference champion. If BSU finishes the season ranked higher than the Big12 champion, then they would get one of the top 4 seeds which is possible between them or Army if they both win out. From what I have been reading, Army would possibly pass BSU in their ranking if they can beat Notre Dame, and then beat Tulane, but who knows if a ranked UNLV gets to the conference championship and BSU beats UNLV? On the other side, it is very unlikely that if UNLV wins the MWC championship that they will be ranked high enough to get one of the top 4 seeds.
I see that as zero chance because they would need to stay in the top 10 to have any chance to be one of the 7 picks after the 5 conference championship teams.
No. You have to be a conference champion or top 12 CFP team to get at large. They won't be either with a loss
There is a decent chance that both BSU and UNLV won't get an invite if BSU loses to UNLV in the Championship. What are the chances that CSU get into the playoff if they beat BSU in the MWCC game?
OK. Knowling this, who do you think will win the game between FSU and CSU?
That is possible, but if Army loses this week to ND they arent coming into AAC game ranked, they just didnt play a good schedule. Even Tulane winning the AAC at home vs UNLV beating a top 10 Boise would probably leap frog UNLV ahead in the CFP standings. Boise staying ranked highly will really help UNLVs shot if things play out that way- especially if Kansas beats Colorado... That'd be a better P4 win than any G5 school this season has.
CSU would need a lot of help. They have 3 losses and a weak schedule. Though a win against Boise will likely be the best win of the G5 as it would be if we were to be Boise in a champ game.
Thank you, Masked. Are you sure you're not Meister's twins?
I agree actually. The two regular season games they have left are Kansas and Oklahoma State... combined 7-13. But if they beat both, they will meet BYU, Iowa State, or Arizona State. BYU and ASU play this week, and Iowa State plays Kansas State next week. Those line up to me as "whoever CU plays in the Big 12 title game will be ranked, basically no matter what", and I'd assume just based on how things go, CU will rise to within a couple spots to BSU organically, then pass them in championship weekend.
CU is in the P4 conference or are they not?
In the rankings... Boise right now is in a spot to get a home game as the highest ranked G5 and potentially could be ahead of one of the P4 champions, giving them the home game bye
I think CSU wins out, so do we. LA BOWL for us.
Got it. Yeah, UNLV going to beat BSU in the championship game.
Predicting CSU and UNLV to win out is political?
Definitely possible that's how it plays out. Hypothetically, Army loses to ND. Depending on the severity, that would certainly drop them out of the CFP rankings (using last weeks rankings), but not change their standing in the American title game. Tulane vs Army is the championship game, both have clinched already. Tulane may very well lose to Memphis to end the regular season. Either way, it's entirely possible both or either have one more loss on their resume.
