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Line ‘em up: Predictions and Game Thread UNLV at SJSU FOOTBALL

j. spilotro

j. spilotro

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May as well start a thread talking all things UNLV at SJSU. Suffice it to say, huge game, but they all are here until the end.

Haven’t seen the line yet, guessing UNLV will be around a 6 point favorite. There are no roll overs, won’t even be one for the UNR game. SJSU is going to go all out and they certainly CAN beat UNLV.

I think it’s going to be a really tough game.
 
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This one makes me nervous. Does CSU play FSU before or after our game? Hopefully before because if they win, and we get upset, then the loss will hurt less.
 
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Baby Jesus is back and I think helped get the offense back on track. Haven’t watched SJSU so I’m not gonna comment. I know they’re dangerous and was a game that a lot of us had circled as a danger game. We were 20 point favorites against SDSU and didn’t look past them… don’t think we’ll be looking past SJSU either.
 
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oneepstein said:
Baby Jesus is back and I think helped get the offense back on track. Haven’t watched SJSU so I’m not gonna comment. I know they’re dangerous and was a game that a lot of us had circled as a danger game. We were 20 point favorites against SDSU and didn’t look past them… don’t think we’ll be looking past SJSU either.
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SJSU is really good offensively at what we defend poorly which is the short passes. I am very concerned about this game. I believe that we will need to score TD's and not have to settle for FG's if we want to win.
 
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oneepstein said:
Baby Jesus is back and I think helped get the offense back on track. Haven’t watched SJSU so I’m not gonna comment. I know they’re dangerous and was a game that a lot of us had circled as a danger game. We were 20 point favorites against SDSU and didn’t look past them… don’t think we’ll be looking past SJSU either.
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They’re not great but they’re capable. More capable than Oregon State, Hawaii, SDSU, Utah State and Fresno State.

They throw ALOT and they protected the QB very well against Boise. Nash is a stud receiver.

If both teams bring their A game, I think UNLV wins the game. So let’s just worry about bringing our A game.
 
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UNLV's defense depends on the pass rush. If they cant put pressure on the SJSU's qb it will be a long night. They play too far off which opens up the short passing game and not very good at defending the long throw. So if they cant get through the line and keep their qb on his heels the outcome might not be great.
 
rebelzzz said:
UNLV's defense depends on the pass rush. If they cant put pressure on the SJSU's qb it will be a long night. They play too far off which opens up the short passing game and not very good at defending the long throw. So if they cant get through the line and keep their qb on his heels the outcome might not be great.
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Agreed. And we won’t bring enough with the front so we are going to have to bring backers. Have to disguise it, switch it up, surprise them. But we did that against other teams and some were able to pick us apart with the short game.

At some point, we have to gamble and play tighter shorter … those 5-6 yard easy ones are slow death.
 
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I don’t think UNLV needs its A game as much as not having game turning calls by the officials or really dumb penalties by UNLV
 
UNM is not slow growth that is for sure, perhaps even SJSU given what they lost, but they have been a winning program.
Again UNLV was coming off a 5-7 season and had 2 of the 3 years previous with top of the league recruiting classes.
UNM is having a good turnaround. But again they are fighting to barely make a bowl game.
So... it isn't an INSTANT turnaround.
 
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I think the one player that is low key our best DB is Tony Grimes. You rarely notice him (at least on TV broadcasts) which is a good thing. QBs don't want to challenge him. We have gotten beat as a team in zone situations and Tony has been a victim of that, but you rarely see him challenged in man coverage. It reminds me of Eric Wright in that respect.
I think he can help this week, if there is one top WR that can burn us.
 
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dcut03 said:
I think the one player that is low key our best DB is Tony Grimes. You rarely notice him (at least on TV broadcasts) which is a good thing. QBs don't want to challenge him. We have gotten beat as a team in zone situations and Tony has been a victim of that, but you rarely see him challenged in man coverage. It reminds me of Eric Wright in that respect.
I think he can help this week, if there is one top WR that can burn us.
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He can only help if he actually plays. Was dressed for the last game but never went in.

Hoping they were just saving him for the short week leading up to Friday.
 
dcut03 said:
He came back into the game, I am pretty sure I saw him back out there.
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That is great news. We need all hands on deck for SJSU. I remember watching SJSU first couple of games and I was blown away with how good they looked with a new coach and QB. We can win but it's not going to be easy.
 
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Rebel Girls & Co. - 31
Will Ferrell and Cheri Oteri - 27

We can and should keep the ball on the ground. They are horrible against the run. We should be able to go over 200 yards against them. Control the TOP and keep Nash and Lockhart off the field as much as we can. They throw the ball on a higher percentage of plays than any other team in FBS, almost 67% of the time. That scares me, so limiting their play total is a good way to play defense.
 
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I dont think we put a ton of pressure on the QB this game. I think we do press more on the line and keep things in front of us. When we blitz we put our DBs in bad 1 v 1 situations and we cant get to the QB fast enough. I watched the SJSU vs Boise game and SJSU gets the ball out so fast that its almost pointless to "press the pass rush". Id rather give them a shorter tighter cushion and keep the deep shots under control. Treat the passing game like the run game and limit opportunities to 2-3 yard picks ups and force incompletions. Not like vs Syracuse where we got burned for 60 passes, but keep the DBs tighter to the WRs. Boise has the best pass rush in the country and couldn't get to the QB vs SJSU.
 
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Masked_rebel said:
I dont think we put a ton of pressure on the QB this game. I think we do press more on the line and keep things in front of us. When we blitz we put our DBs in bad 1 v 1 situations and we cant get to the QB fast enough. I watched the SJSU vs Boise game and SJSU gets the ball out so fast that its almost pointless to "press the pass rush". Id rather give them a shorter tighter cushion and keep the deep shots under control. Treat the passing game like the run game and limit opportunities to 2-3 yard picks ups and force incompletions. Not like vs Syracuse where we got burned for 60 passes, but keep the DBs tighter to the WRs. Boise has the best pass rush in the country and couldn't get to the QB vs SJSU.
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To be fair, the way Syracuse played us was the first time all year they tried so many quick passes, but yes we got too cute against Syracuse and their QB found the open man too easily.

We need to occasionally mix in some pressure, but we can't be as aggressive as we were against Hawaii and some of our other games.
 
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dcut03 said:
To be fair, the way Syracuse played us was the first time all year they tried so many quick passes, but yes we got too cute against Syracuse and their QB found the open man too easily.

We need to occasionally mix in some pressure, but we can't be as aggressive as we were against Hawaii and some of our other games.
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Yeah, I thought we were super aggressive vs Hawaii and at times it definitely worked, but then we got burned by underthrown passes that Catalon just didnt track well vs the Hawaii WR coming back for the ball. We got burnt like we havent all season. I expect we bracket Nash alot, he leads the team by almost 50% more receptions this season. They also dont use the TE the way Boise and Syracuse did to burn us. After Nash theres a real drop off on WR production across the board- like a lot. Nash has 14 TD receptions- the next guy has 4.. If we give him a big cushion, hes going to get like 14 receptions for 200 yards. Eget also throws alot of interceptions. Im really not sure how they has so much success against Boise other than the Boise corners are terrible and we shouldve been more aggressive against them than we were.
 
Masked_rebel said:
Yeah, I thought we were super aggressive vs Hawaii and at times it definitely worked, but then we got burned by underthrown passes that Catalon just didnt track well vs the Hawaii WR coming back for the ball. We got burnt like we havent all season. I expect we bracket Nash alot, he leads the team by almost 50% more receptions this season. They also dont use the TE the way Boise and Syracuse did to burn us. After Nash theres a real drop off on WR production across the board- like a lot. Nash has 14 TD receptions- the next guy has 4.. If we give him a big cushion, hes going to get like 14 receptions for 200 yards. Eget also throws alot of interceptions. Im really not sure how they has so much success against Boise other than the Boise corners are terrible and we shouldve been more aggressive against them than we were.
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I would say that our defense against Hawaii was an overall success.

They 14-35 on passing, we had 6 sacks, and 1 INT, with another pick 6 called back due to a horsesh!t call.

they were 3-14 on 3rd downs.

Those are excellent numbers.

Sure we got burned deep a few times. It is the flipside of the coin when you are aggressive. One of those throws was a fluke as you mentioned that is was so underthrown and we couldn't locate it. It is like banking in a 1/2 court shot. Sometimes dumb luck just screws you .

It was a close game because we some really bad calls take away touchdowns, some out of character missed FGs, and a sputtering offense for too much of the game.
 
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dcut03 said:
I would say that our defense against Hawaii was an overall success.

They 14-35 on passing, we had 6 sacks, and 1 INT, with another pick 6 called back due to a horsesh!t call.

they were 3-14 on 3rd downs.

Those are excellent numbers.

Sure we got burned deep a few times. It is the flipside of the coin when you are aggressive. One of those throws was a fluke as you mentioned that is was so underthrown and we couldn't locate it. It is like banking in a 1/2 court shot. Sometimes dumb luck just screws you .

It was a close game because we some really bad calls take away touchdowns, some out of character missed FGs, and a sputtering offense for too much of the game.
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SJSU is a much better offense!

Getting sacks would be nice but smaller cushions would work well too but the problem is we give 7+ yard cushions and make it easy for opposing QB’s and wonder why we lose these types of games!
 
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rebel5280 said:
SJSU is a much better offense!

Getting sacks would be nice but smaller cushions would work well too but the problem is we give 7+ yard cushions and make it easy for opposing QB’s and wonder why we lose these types of games!
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LIke I said, I wouldn't be as aggressive, but just stating that the approach against Hawaii was a success.

If we can hold SJSU to 40% completion percentage and 3/15 on 3rd down we will win.
 
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rebel5280 said:
SJSU is a much better offense!

Getting sacks would be nice but smaller cushions would work well too but the problem is we give 7+ yard cushions and make it easy for opposing QB’s and wonder why we lose these types of games!
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Their offenses are very similar. SJSU benched the better QB for Eget for some reason. They have a much better/talented WR. They played really well early vs Boise, but got worn down and made mistakes against better team. We are a better team.
They do some things well- Getting the ball to Nash- alot. but thats about it. they're very similar to Utah St. with a few better results. They're also around 80th in rush defense. They turn the ball over alot- 24 to be exact which is 131st in the nation. theyre middle of the road in sacks...
They dont run the ball well. Again, these middle tier MWC teams arent great at anything, they play well one week and not so good the next. Its all over the place so I dont expect SJSU to jump out the same way they did vs Boise. Plus the "Revenge tour" continues.
 
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j. spilotro said:
May as well start a thread talking all things UNLV at SJSU. Suffice it to say, huge game, but they all are here until the end.

Haven’t seen the line yet, guessing UNLV will be around a 6 point favorite. There are no roll overs, won’t even be one for the UNR game. SJSU is going to go all out and they certainly CAN beat UNLV.

I think it’s going to be a really tough game.
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Nervous as hell for this one…one advantage for UNLV is SJSU is already bowl eligible…but this is their 2nd game in a row vs a top 25 team, and they’ll be all out to win this one. However, they aren’t playing against a future PAC X member, so hopefully that takes a bit off. Just hope we show up & understand the need to win this one!
 
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Meister_Rebel said:
Didn't Camac go out with what appeared to be ankle/foot injury? He seems like another silent assassin always in a bunch of defensive plays. I don't know how serious his injury is or if he will be back. Anyone heard more about this?
Click to expand...

Was just chatting with my brother about him. has done a nice job getting to the Qb over last few games.
 
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Masked_rebel said:
Their offenses are very similar. SJSU benched the better QB for Eget for some reason. They have a much better/talented WR. They played really well early vs Boise, but got worn down and made mistakes against better team. We are a better team.
They do some things well- Getting the ball to Nash- alot. but thats about it. they're very similar to Utah St. with a few better results. They're also around 80th in rush defense. They turn the ball over alot- 24 to be exact which is 131st in the nation. theyre middle of the road in sacks...
They dont run the ball well. Again, these middle tier MWC teams arent great at anything, they play well one week and not so good the next. Its all over the place so I dont expect SJSU to jump out the same way they did vs Boise. Plus the "Revenge tour" continues.
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Another thing they do well besides throw the ball to Nash is protect the QB. Considering how often they throw the ball it's pretty impressive they've only given up like 10 sacks (I think) on the year..Which makes their propensity for turnovers weird. Usually see lots of picks from dudes under pressure a lot.
 
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Bullmastiff 1 said:
Another thing they do well besides throw the ball to Nash is protect the QB. Considering how often they throw the ball it's pretty impressive they've only given up like 10 sacks (I think) on the year..Which makes their propensity for turnovers weird. Usually see lots of picks from dudes under pressure a lot.
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And our weakness is rushing the passer which presents a challenge vs a team like this if he will have all day to throw a la Syracuse.
 
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Boston Rebel 2 said:
And our weakness is rushing the passer which presents a challenge vs a team like this if he will have all day to throw a la Syracuse.
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We're tied for the 13th in the nation with 30 sacks and teams convert 32% on 3rd down. I don't think it's as bad as you think.

Last season we only had 26 all season in 14 games and 3rd down conversions were 37%. We're scoring (on average) 5 more points/game and giving up 5 less points per game than 2023. We're giving up 50 yards less on the ground per game, and we're essentially the same as last season through the air, but teams are completing 4% less passes this season.
 
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Bullmastiff 1 said:
Another thing they do well besides throw the ball to Nash is protect the QB. Considering how often they throw the ball it's pretty impressive they've only given up like 10 sacks (I think) on the year..Which makes their propensity for turnovers weird. Usually see lots of picks from dudes under pressure a lot.
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They release the ball so quickly. They arent sitting back in pocket taking deep shots. Again, theyre not very good with the Running game and so they use the short quick passing game to do the work. Eget is terrible with ball security and throws a lot of bad passes, usually trying to get the ball into Nash who is blanketed. If we can keep Nash from killing us, then we stand a pretty good chance at shutting them down. I expect Catalon to provide a couple good pops to Nash early sending the message that that short quick stuff is going to be painfull all day.
 
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We’ll need our linebackers to disrupt the short passing game and pick off a pass or two. Woodard is so good at reading the game and being in the right spot on pass plays, we just need him to hold onto the ball when he has the 1-2 chances to pick it. (Still can’t get the Syracuse dropped pick out of my head. I’m sure it still crosses his mind daily.)
 
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