No doubt, these guys know their stuff. But as a betting man I can tell you that there's always grey area in odds making. That's where you can make money.
Now, typically I don't bet on my 'team' meaning the Rebels. But the odds makers are short changing the Rebels a wee bit. Understandably so given a new coaching staff, especially s HC from the high school ranks. Plus a weak transition class doesn't help along with a fairly tough schedule. But all is not lost for the Rebels, especially if you know the existing players and realize that they are not as weak as most are projecting.
Most people attributed the bowl season to a weak division. Sorry but I don't understand that...7 wins is 7 wins. I think that the Rebels can be in quite a few of their games this year. SJSU, Hawaii, Idaho State are winnable games. UNR is a rivalry which the team can bring home the cannon. And rivalry games just can't truly factor in 'emotion'.
Fresno State will be a challenging game but once again, it's not out of reach.
Wyoming is a stretch but even the line here is within distance.
The rest of the games? I may bet on them but only if the points are right. Usually will stay away unless doe thing feels out of place (spread-wise).
Nonetheless, I'm hoping the Rebels can be competitive, beat Idaho State and UNR, and take one from SJSU and or Hawaii. . Anything more will be A O K with me. Exceeding expectations would be stealing one from Wyoming.
Looking forward to the season and cheering on the Rebels (regardless of the outcome). I feel good with what Sanchez and company bring to the table. I feel he has the program headed in the right direction.
I am probably in the minority here but I really don't think this seasons schedule is that much tougher than last year. We played 13 games last year so I will insert the Houston game into the mix when comparing last year to this year.
Out of Conference last year we played.
Arizona, Houston, Byu, Northern Colorado and NIU
This Year
UCLA, Michigan, Idaho State and NIU
So if you compare OOC games..
Is UCLA all that much better than Arizona?
We play NIU again this year this time on the road so that is tougher.
Is Michigan really that much better than BYU at right now? Would anybody be surprised if BYU upset Michigan in Michigan week 4?
Lets throw out the Norther Colorado Game and compare Houston on the road vs Idaho State at home. Houston the tougher game in this case.
To my eyes the OOC schedule isn't really any tougher than last years. The names of the schools make it feel that way.
This isn't to say we are going to fair any better or worse than last year. I think the conference schedule is tougher with the additions of Boise State and Colorado State, but we get the advantage of playing three of our most winnable games at home. I think the conference schedule this year is tougher overall.
Boise State is obviously tougher than New Mexico who we played last year.
Colorado State a tougher match up than Air Force.
Utah State on the road probably a tougher game than Wyoming on the road. So the conference game changes here would point to a tougher overall schedule.
But.
We play San Diego State, San Jose State, and Hawaii at home rather than on the road like last year. Those are the three conference games people have pointed to for possible Rebel wins. Fresno and Reno are away making those tougher games.
This years schedule is tougher overall, but if you really look at last years schedule and having to play a 13th game cutting out a bye week, I think last years schedule was almost as difficult.
2-4 wins this year. To get to four I think we will have to steal one on the road at either Fresno, Reno or Wyoming.