Can't argue that Idaho is important, but of all the key games we will have, 4 of them come against MWC West opponents. Two of them come against MWC Mountain opponents. Other than SDSU (which we *could* beat), I think all of our conference games are winnable and so each one is key. Idaho would be a middle of the pack MWC this year anyway I would guess.
I'd be happy with a repeat (except the way) of last years game vs Idaho, but I'd so much rather it be a 40 point Rebel blowout!
Edit: I think 5.5 is totally reachable. Depending on performance and progress of other teams, 3 wins all the way up to 8 wins seems reasonable. I'm thinking we finish at 6-6, with a few lucky bounces 7-5.