I have no idea how the AD has their debt structured or how that debt played a part in the negotiations with the TEMU12. However, it does appear to be clear that there's a likely combination of factors involving debt/cash on hand that played a big roll into UNLVs decision to stay in the MWC.
The goal, IMO, is UNLV having the ability to keep Odom past this season. It's going to take a significant increase in pay, not only to him, but his assistants and the department in general to keep them around. I'm guessing that it would be VERY difficult for UNLV to pay the exit fee, potentially take less from a future media rights deal AND pay Odom and staff to remain on board. The obvious choice is you do everything in your power to put yourself in the best position possible to keep CBO and staff happy. Afterall, they're the sole reason UNLV has any relevance and sway in this clusterf**k. I would rather remain in the MWC, flush with some cash (hopefully without a commitment past 2026), CBO and Co. still at the helm maintaining national relevance and consistently in reach of the CFP than paying an exorbitant amount of money to join the MWC 2.0, not having cash on hand to pay Odom and falling back down the bottom of the barrel in the TEMU12. Say goodbye to any hopes at all to the potential (longshot?) of being able to hop into a P5.
In the end, what would be better for future expansion? UNLV, while in a lower conference than the TEMU12, maintaining relevance in the only sport that truly matters when it comes to future realignment or becoming irrelevant in the TEMU12 and pitching "Hey, we have the 'potential' to be a great market for future expansion".