Yes but for potential at large spot.
Let's say Army runs table (I don't think they will, still have Notre Dame). Then Army wins AAC title game. They are the likely G5 representative.
Crazy as that sounds.
Say UNLV handles their business goes 10-2 and wins MWC title game over Boise. I'm guessing they could be ranked what? 17-18?
I don't think they would surpass Army as G5 representative. And would likely be just outside looking in at At Large bids. WSU at 11-1 could sneak an at large bid. (Don't think they'll get an at large).
A lot can happen next few weeks. This has been one of the more volatile seasons I can remember in terms of rankings.
Not sure I agree with your opinion here, but it would just depend on how they define "highest rated G5 champion". I don't know exactly what the criteria is though, for determining this (by the college football playoff committee). Obviously, first thing is you have to be champion of your conference. So for UNLV to have a chance, we'd basically have to win out, including beating BSU in the MWC championship game. If UNLV doesn't win out, then we're out.
I believe that Army will lose to Notre Dame. If, however, Army wins against ND, and then wins out the rest of their games, I think there's a chance that they'd leapfrog even Boise, being that they would be undefeated, have beaten a top 10 team (Notre Dame), and beating Navy once or twice, depending on if Navy beats Tulane this week. Or possibly playing Tulane in the championship game, if they beat Navy.
Currently, Boise is ranked #21 in the ESPN power rankings, but is #13 in both the AP and Coaches polls.
Currently Army is ranked #49 in the ESPN power rankings, but is #16 in AP and #17 in Coaches polls.
UNLV is ranked #45 in the ESPN power rankings, but is basically #30 in both AP and Coaches polls.
So UNLV is actually ranked higher than Army in the computer rankings, but behind in the polls. Assuming UNLV wins out, going into the championship game (assuming CSU loses at least 1 game), UNLV should be ranked in the top 25. If Army loses to ND, depending on how badly they lose, they may drop significantly.
So if Army loses to ND, UNLV wins out, and CSU loses a game, THEN UNLV would have to beat Boise at their place to be the conference champ. There's a lot of things that would need to go right for UNLV at this point. The cool part is that we're still talking about it, and it's actually a possibility. It sucks that we lost those 2 close home games, but we're not dead yet.
For me, maybe the worst thing would be if Boise and CSU don't lose any more conference games, and then UNLV wins out but doesn't even make the championship game. That would really suck!