No. they have to come hard at someone that is valuable at that point, like a Memphis or UNLV... too much egg on their faces to not try and pull a bigger fish. They'd be able to say that Texas St declined once they heard that "X" team was being considered at whatever the offer becomes.
They cant wait too much longer to add an 8th especially if its someone currently locked into a bigger conference- the cost goes up.
By not getting Memphis last week that ship sailed didn't it? Their exit fees just doubled.
There isn't a realistic full member addition out there that drastically moves the needle for their media deal at this point including UNLV.
I think their deal is between 8-10 million.
If it was 12-15 Memphis would have jumped at that already I think.
I think what's going on now is, the PAC has looked high and low at media partners and they are getting told the same thing and it's far less than what they thought they would get.
I want to say Texas State is getting less than a million with SBC deal. Let's call it an even million.
Travel costs for them would be similiar to Memphis. So let's add another 2 million.
PAC has to offer them minimum 3 million for them to break even. I would imagine they would want minimum of 5 million per to jump.
If you're Texas State do you jump? Or with uncertainty in ACC do you stay put and jump to AAC if Memphis/Tulane get poached?
I could be wrong. Maybe PAC makes some amazing announcement next month that shocks everyone. But right now it's starting to look like their backs are a bit against the wall.
Memphis AD flat out said initial offer was a 'bad deal'. You dont see ADs take blatant shots at people like that. They typically use more politic language like 'Wasn't in our best interest' 'We are leaving communications open, but at this time it isn't the right move for us' etc. Instead he flat out said bad deal. Look at it another way, by saying that does the AAC commissioner feel any threat from the PAC? If I'm Memphis I'm selling how great the PAC offer was to see if I can squeeze more out of the AAC.
Point being how bad was the PAC offer or presentation that the Memphis AD made it a point to skip past the usual canned answers?
I agree PAC needs to do something soon, but what? I don't think they are suddenly going to open the war chest and pay exit fees.
If Texas State says no, they would be in big trouble.