I'm not really sure what to do with this roster going into next year.
I'm making the following assumptions:
Departures - If Muoka decides to stay then I will assume Karl Jones will transfer. LuRod goes pro as he'll get paid after this season. Jackie Johnson III takes his 10th on the team TS% to a smaller program where he'll get burn and be more successful. Bonus prediction, some jerk on these boards will see him have a decent season and say 'we should have kept him'
Jackie Johnson III - Transfer
David Muoka - Transfer/Graduate
Luis Rodriguez - GLeague/Europe
Jordan McCabe - Graduate
Elijah Parquet - Graduate
Elijah Harkless - Graduate
Arrivals
Brooklyn HIcks - 6'3" Combo Guard - Freshman
Robert Whaley - 6'6" Forward (Tweener Post) - Junior
Returning
Keshon Gilbert
Justin "aka David" Webster
Victor Iwuakor
Keyshawn Hall
Shane Nowell
Isaiah Cottrell
Karl Jones
Needs
Wing
PG
Frontcourt Depth
Bench Shooter
Available Schollies - I'm going to assume we miss out on DJ Thomas who doesn't reclassify (at least not for us), the remaining 4 schollies will go to a mid-major PG transfer, a p5 transfer down wing player, and a freshman or juco shooter. The last schollie we hold on to or take on another transfer/developmental big.man for depth security that we didn't really have this year. If you're looking at the Verbal Commits or the Rivals Database there isn't a lot left short of reclassification on the 2023 table, most of our targets have already committed elsewhere, and those left are 'cool' at least. If we were hoping for a transformative recruiting class, this year is not going to be it.
4
Projected Starters - This projection is based on what we have currently. I feel that KK has been giving Nowell more minutes to get him ready for this role next year, but I think a big upside transfer could supplant him as starter. I also think that we'll see Cottrell and Iwuakor start at the same time, though I don't think they'll have a ton of mutual floor minutes especially early in the season. Conveniently, this order should reflect the order in MPG that we see next season as well.
Keshon Gilbert - JR PG
Justin "Sometimes Goes by David, I swear" Webster - RS SR SG/Wing (Covid RS)
Shane Nowell or Transfer - RS JR SF/Wing (Covid RS)
Isaiah Cottrell - RS JR Wing/PF (Medical RS)
Victor Iwuakor - RS SR PF/C (Covid RS)
Projected Depth - I think KK doesn't really like freshmen, so these predictions are in line with that, these will be the rough order of minutes given. I do think Karl Jones will see a bit more regular minutes this year because I don't think Iwuakor can always stay out of foul trouble. If our transfer wing is more of a Stretch 4, or is an instant impact guy then I see him getting more minutes and maybe taking Nowell's starting wing slot.
Keyshawn Hall - Wing/PF Depth
Transfer Wing
Transfer PG
Robert Whaley
Brooklyn Hicks
Transfer/Freshman Travis Bice/Kendall Wallace analog
Karl Jones/Transfer Big
I think we'll see a slight improvement of the record, but we miss the dance again. I'm thinking NIT (for the record I don't think we'll go to the NIT this year).