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Power ratings

Gotta look at the positives says the team improved 1.71 points whatever that actually means
 
A 7 win season is also a real possibility. Neither one is likely though as they will probably win 4-5 like usual under Sanchez. I just hope there is not another embarrassing loss ala Howard or New Mexico.
 
Hate to say it boys but a 2 win season is a real possibility.....

I'm not very high on the team or Sanchez at this point, but I can't see them only winning two games.

Minimum 4
Probably 5
Hopefully 6

If they are headed for two wins he doesn't make it through the entire season.

Its imperative to go 3-1 or 2-2 to start season.

A 1-3 start heading into a 4 game stretch that includes Home to Boise Home to SDSU away to Vandy away to Fresno would pretty much sign Sanchez' pink slip..

I'm pretty confident they can win 5 though.
 
I have no issue agreeing with 4-8 to 7-5. In reality he is under the gun to go at least 6-6 and most likely will be in trouble if he wins 5 or less games. I think Sanchez knows where things stand, and I except to see a maximum effort out of the coaching staff and players. I think they can get to 6 wins, but it will mean they must have at least a couple of upset wins.
 
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Should be an interesting year. If they can somehow win 6+, obviously they will surprise a lot of people.

Can Armani be an efficient passer all year? Can he stay healthy all year? These things will take pressure off of the defense.

Can the defense hold opponents and get stops on a consistent basis? What about creating turnovers throughout the year? These things will take pressure off of the offense.

Regardless of what happens, I'm looking forward to the season. Really should only be two clear outcomes:

1) We surprise everyone, make a bowl game, and carry momentum into 2020 at the new stadium

or

2) We fail to make a bowl game, get a new coaching staff, and carry the excitement that comes with that into 2020 at the new stadium
 
Should be an interesting year. If they can somehow win 6+, obviously they will surprise a lot of people.

Can Armani be an efficient passer all year? Can he stay healthy all year? These things will take pressure off of the defense.

Can the defense hold opponents and get stops on a consistent basis? What about creating turnovers throughout the year? These things will take pressure off of the offense.

Regardless of what happens, I'm looking forward to the season. Really should only be two clear outcomes:

1) We surprise everyone, make a bowl game, and carry momentum into 2020 at the new stadium

or

2) We fail to make a bowl game, get a new coaching staff, and carry the excitement that comes with that into 2020 at the new stadium


Exactly this....
 
If Rogers can just hit the short passes with consistency I think we'll be ok.
 
That and the defense has to be significantly better.

Last season was arguably the worst of Sanchez era.

I was optimistic about the defense last year and that resulted in disappointment.

The non-conf games Skipper's defense was decent. In 4 games UNLV had almost as many sacks as the whole '17 season.

But the first 5 MWC games were UGLY. The Rebels gave up an average of around 50 points (all in the 41-59 point range) and around 500 yards (all in the 466 to 598 range).

At least they pulled it together in the last 3 MWC games. If they play D this season like they did in those last 3 games then the Rebs could overachieve and make 6 wins. This season as much of the Rebels' fate will rest with Skipper's defense as it does with Armani Rogers having a solid year.
 
I was optimistic about the defense last year and that resulted in disappointment.

The non-conf games Skipper's defense was decent. In 4 games UNLV had almost as many sacks as the whole '17 season.

But the first 5 MWC games were UGLY. The Rebels gave up an average of around 50 points (all in the 41-59 point range) and around 500 yards (all in the 466 to 598 range).

At least they pulled it together in the last 3 MWC games. If they play D this season like they did in those last 3 games then the Rebs could overachieve and make 6 wins. This season as much of the Rebels' fate will rest with Skipper's defense as it does with Armani Rogers having a solid year.

I'm not so sure they really did pull it together the last three games. At first glance it definitely looked better.

SDSU offense struggled all year. They were downright bad..

Hawaii game the defense surrendered a double digit lead.

Vs Reno there were some timely turnovers, but the D still surrendered a ton of yards in that game.

For all the talk of Skipper getting 'his guys' to fit his system, most of the guys running first team this Spring were guys that played last year.

DL-
Uesike/Malakius/Neal

LB-
White, Viramontes, Salu, McCoy

DB-
Austrie, Tejchman, Plummer and Flowers.

Only Viramontes wasn't here last year.

Obviously there were some guys banged up in Spring that couldn't practice and there are a few JUCOs coming in the fall that could change the 2 deep and compete for starting jobs.

But based on Spring it appears a lot of the same peices from last year will be logging a lot of snaps.

Biggest change is the move to more odd man fronts.

I think the defense will be better. But how much and will it be enough is the question.

We'll see. I hope so..
 
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Odds are he is fired this year - hope I'm wrong, hope I'm right.

Most people have interpreted the DRF written statement from the end of last season to be that CTS will be fired if UNLV doesn't make a bowl. That was never explicitly stated. DRF's full written statement that was released was:

“After evaluating the UNLV football program with Acting President Marta Meana, Coach Tony Sanchez will return for a fifth year to lead the Rebels. We are looking forward to a successful 2019 football season including bowl eligibility, continued improvement in the classroom, and as always, a positive student-athlete experience. We have invested more resources than ever into the Rebel football program and will continue exploring every avenue to enable it to be competitive.”
 
I'm not so sure they really did pull it together the last three games. At first glance it definitely looked better.

SDSU offense struggled all year. They were downright bad..

Hawaii game the defense surrendered a double digit lead.

Vs Reno there were some timely turnovers, but the D still surrendered a ton of yards in that game.

For all the talk of Skipper getting 'his guys' to fit his system, most of the guys running first team this Spring were guys that played last year.

DL-
Uesike/Malakius/Neal

LB-
White, Viramontes, Salu, McCoy

DB-
Austrie, Tejchman, Plummer and Flowers.

Only Viramontes wasn't here last year.

Obviously there were some guys banged up in Spring that couldn't practice and there are a few JUCOs coming in the fall that could change the 2 deep and compete for starting jobs.

But based on Spring it appears a lot of the same peices from last year will be logging a lot of snaps.

Biggest change is the move to more odd man fronts.

I think the defense will be better. But how much and will it be enough is the question.

We'll see. I hope so..

Hopefully with the returners being the second year in the system Skip will be able to run more of his playbook. I know defense is typically easier to learn schematically than a complex offense, but familiarity should hopefully help.
 
Most people have interpreted the DRF written statement from the end of last season to be that CTS will be fired if UNLV doesn't make a bowl. That was never explicitly stated. DRF's full written statement that was released was:

“After evaluating the UNLV football program with Acting President Marta Meana, Coach Tony Sanchez will return for a fifth year to lead the Rebels. We are looking forward to a successful 2019 football season including bowl eligibility, continued improvement in the classroom, and as always, a positive student-athlete experience. We have invested more resources than ever into the Rebel football program and will continue exploring every avenue to enable it to be competitive.”
Well, people “in the know” have stated her desire was to let him go at the end of the last season but was “forced” to hold on another season and issued that statement, a statement which was finally whittled to be a little more gray and more puffy than the original black and white statement.
 
Well, people “in the know” have stated her desire was to let him go at the end of the last season but was “forced” to hold on another season and issued that statement, a statement which was finally whittled to be a little more gray and more puffy than the original black and white statement.


Based on what went on behind the scenes...

I think you can read that statement as a direct shot at Sanchez.

Specifically the 'invested the most resources' part..

Ultimately it was better she didn't get her way then, because it would have put UNLV back on the hook for remaining facility costs.

If he fails to reach a bowl this year, she should.
 
For all the talk of Skipper getting 'his guys' to fit his system, most of the guys running first team this Spring were guys that played last year.

DL-
Uesike/Malakius/Neal

LB-
White, Viramontes, Salu, McCoy

DB-
Austrie, Tejchman, Plummer and Flowers.

Only Viramontes wasn't here last year.

Obviously there were some guys banged up in Spring that couldn't practice and there are a few JUCOs coming in the fall that could change the 2 deep and compete for starting jobs.

But based on Spring it appears a lot of the same peices from last year will be logging a lot of snaps.

Biggest change is the move to more odd man fronts.

I think the defense will be better. But how much and will it be enough is the question.

If Nick Dehdashtian is back healthy it will improve that DL significantly. He was a leader in sacks and TFL in his junior season in '17.

Salu was on the team but was a red-shirt last season. If he is ahead of Farrel Hester (who played a lot last season) then he is a player. He's also ahead of converted DB Demetrious Gibbs and RS F Malcolm Johnson, so that LB group is deep and talented.

While Tejchman was on the team last year, he was primarily a WR until he started seeing time at safety the last two games.

How does the addition of Florida grad transfer Rayshad Jackson change what you would expect to be the rotation? Does he have the size to play DE or just ILB?
 
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If Nick Dehdashtian is back healthy it will improve that DL significantly. He was a leader in sacks and TFL in his junior season in '17.

Salu was on the team but was a red-shirt last season. If he is ahead of Farrel Hester (who played a lot last season) then he is a player. He's also ahead of converted DB Demetrious Gibbs and RS F Malcolm Johnson, so that LB group is deep and talented.

How does the addition of Florida grad transfer Rayshad Jackson change what you would expect to be the rotation? Does he have the size to play DE or just ILB?


Salu appears to be ahead of Hester, but Hester could see time in certain packages.

Salu and Hester are pretty similar players to be honest.

Gibbs move to ILB seemed odd, but I think he will play in sub packages. He's easy added 15-20 pounds.

Instead of bringing in another Safety or CB vs 3WR sets Gibbs with his length comes in at ILB and you can stay more in your 'base defense'.

Jackson has size to play DE but whether it suits his skill set, I don't know. Nothing in his career suggests he is much of a pass rusher. More of an ILB.

That would most likely impact Salu and Hester more than Viramontes. (I would guess).

Dehdashtian will provide flexibility. But in 2017 Hughes lead the DL with 7 TFL and was tied with Dedashtian in sacks with 2. (Site I looked at had those numbers).

Dehdashtian has definitely flashed. No doubt. But does his return cancel the loss of Mann who had better numbers last year? I don't know. I hope so..

Malcolm Johnson has shifted to DE.

In the new scheme they were running a lot of 2 DL with hands in the dirt and one standing up. Behind them were 4 LBs. Johnson was playing in the standup DE spot. He was behind Neal.

One good thing is it may be difficult to determine where pressure is coming from and for QBs to read coverages. Similar to Rocky Long and his 3-3-5 defenseat SDSU.

I don't mean to come off negative.

But last years defense was so bad, I'm not sure enough was done to fix it..
 
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