With one game left to play for everybody except Boise, the only true lock is SDSU as the 1 seed.
It looks like that the worst UNLV can do is a 4 seed (that would be a loss at SJSU), they'd be tied with CSU and Boise in the standings, but UNLV would win the tiebreaker (UNLV split with both, but UNLV swept SDSU and the other two were swept).
The best UNLV could do is a 3 seed. That would be a UNLV win, a USU loss at UNM. That would give them a tie at 12-6 each, but UNLV/USU split, and once again, UNLV split with SDSU and SDSU swept USU. So we really want UNM to upset USU this weekend.
UNLV would also be tied with UNR if UNR loses vs SDSU. But UNR swept UNLV, so UNR would get that two seed.
As a four seed, UNLV would play the 5 seed at 2pm on Thursday. The five seed would MOST LIKELY be CSU or Boise.... we just spanked the living shit out of both and it'd set up a collision course with SDSU for that Friday semi at 6pm, which would be awesome.
As a three seed, UNLV would get the 7pm game on Thursday against one of the following teams, depending how the last day of regular season shakes out. SJSU, Wyoming, BSU, UNM, CSU, Fresno.... it really doesn't matter, but the winner of that part of the bracket would get the #2 seed (either USU or UNR) Thursday at 830 pm.
I can see two schools of thought here. The four seed is "better" because - you're going to have to play SDSU at some point, it may as well be when your legs are the freshest.
The three seed is "better" because the path to the finals is easier where a win vs SDSU in the finals gets you the auto bid.
It looks like that the worst UNLV can do is a 4 seed (that would be a loss at SJSU), they'd be tied with CSU and Boise in the standings, but UNLV would win the tiebreaker (UNLV split with both, but UNLV swept SDSU and the other two were swept).
The best UNLV could do is a 3 seed. That would be a UNLV win, a USU loss at UNM. That would give them a tie at 12-6 each, but UNLV/USU split, and once again, UNLV split with SDSU and SDSU swept USU. So we really want UNM to upset USU this weekend.
UNLV would also be tied with UNR if UNR loses vs SDSU. But UNR swept UNLV, so UNR would get that two seed.
As a four seed, UNLV would play the 5 seed at 2pm on Thursday. The five seed would MOST LIKELY be CSU or Boise.... we just spanked the living shit out of both and it'd set up a collision course with SDSU for that Friday semi at 6pm, which would be awesome.
As a three seed, UNLV would get the 7pm game on Thursday against one of the following teams, depending how the last day of regular season shakes out. SJSU, Wyoming, BSU, UNM, CSU, Fresno.... it really doesn't matter, but the winner of that part of the bracket would get the #2 seed (either USU or UNR) Thursday at 830 pm.
I can see two schools of thought here. The four seed is "better" because - you're going to have to play SDSU at some point, it may as well be when your legs are the freshest.
The three seed is "better" because the path to the finals is easier where a win vs SDSU in the finals gets you the auto bid.
