Agreed on this.Start 1-2...I can't see a path to bowl eligibility that I would think is realistic.
Now that we have the gimmee out of the way, looking at the schedule, I think the first 6 games will tell the story:
Idaho State = W
Cal/North Texas = have to win 1 out of 2
Utah State/UNM/SJSU = need to win 2 out of 3
We'd be sitting at 4-2 heading into the difficult 4 game stretch of the year:
AFA
ND
SDSU
Fresno
You would assume that we're going to be heavy underdogs in all 4. Assuming we drop all 4, then that leaves the final two games that we must win to become bowl eligible:
Hawaii
UNR
I think that is our path, unless they exceed all expectations beyond imagination.