@LocoRebel is sort of reading my headspace pretty well.
First of all, if Odom gets poached, it can only mean relatively good things for where the program is at in the moment, but it doesn't speak to the consistency of the program. It is easier to take over a good program, but as we know from basketball there are no guarantees even if you're coming form a position of relative doimance for 25 years.
I used Fresno and Boise as a program ideal for a reason. Fresno State for example had Jim Sweeney who had the program from 80-96 and had a .655 winning percentage, There was 3 seasons under Padilla where they were terrible and then he was followed by Pat Hill who had a really strong 14 year run with a .583 winning percentage. DeRuyter went .500 over 4 seasons and was then replaced by Tedford, who 'retired' for Kalen DeBoer who go poached by UW and came back, and both of those guys were .667 guys over their stints. That's 40 years of solid program and coaches. Since UNLV has been FBS, Fresno State has 1 more losing season than we've had .500+ seasons.
Boise is another program that's been so consistently good that it would take us decades to reach their program stability. They've been playing football since 1968, they only have 2 non-interim coaches who finished under .600 for their career at Boise State and one of them was Houston Nutt who got poached by Arkansas after one sub .500 season. Since Boise State went division one in 96 they have 2 losing seasons...their first two after leaving FCS.
I'm not scared about Odom being poached, I hope he puts that kind of success in, but I am nervous about what comes after that, because 3-4 seasons of winning don't necessarily turn around a program, especially at a G5 school. Showing that you CAN win here is super important for the coaching graveyard that UNLV football has been, but a few years doesn't remove the albatross from our necks imho.
