I am still, up in the air on this one. I will just wait and see how this plays out. Thoughts?
A Bad deal for UNLV? Or, a Good deal for UNLV's future.
- Thread starter WYNN or Dye
- Start date
Yea, Texas St? Congrats to them. As New Mexico, would have been a better add than Texas St.
Yea I’m not sure how adding TxSt increases the nPac’s value. If UNLV can keep winning and compete for a MWCC and CFP spot over the next 5 years, we’ll definitely be in a better position for a potential B12 invite than we would if we chose to jump to the P12.
It simply doesn't.
There is a reason it took this long to add an 8th, they were looking at other options. TxState is a last resort.
And before everyone laughs at them, Texas State turned the MW down.
They have potential, for sure. But they aren't worth much right now. Their positives on paper are currently fools gold. Yes they have a large enrollment and alumni base, but I have yet to find anyone who went to Texas State that cared about their athletics and I live in Texas. Even Tx State athletes that I have treated aren't super gung ho about their school. I have met countless Tx State grads, but they do not follow their sports, 90% are UT fans and could not get in to Texas so they went to the closest school they could geographically.
Now does the PAC brand change that? Honestly, I think it could. Being in a bad conference did hurt their perception and the PAC, though still G6 is still an upgrade. But it will still take time.
As for UNLV staying vs going? I don't think we will truly know until we see all of the specifics. Specifics on the mediation, what the new MW deal will be, if the PAC is truly offering a p4 free pass like they said.
If the MW "wins" mediation, gets near or all of the poaching fees and settles at 11 or 12 mill per school on exit fees ( the high end of industry standard) then UNLV staying put could be more financially rewarding. At least temporarily.
But if the poaching fees are dropped or severely reduced and the exit fees are negotiated to 7-8 mill per team ( the lower end of the industry standard), and in fact they do have that same free pass, then I think UNLV made a mistake. It looks to me right now that the PAC teams will easily make double of the MW teams per year (and that is just the base money), I think the PAC would easily pay our exit fees straight up if it meant that they didn't have to resort to Texas State. The PAC would make more money, have a much stronger SOS, and will net more bonus money. From sharing of CFP, to easily 2-3 times more NCAAT credits, even if we would only get a 1/2 share if UNLV didn't make the tourney. More likely to get at least 1/2 of the G5 CFP money, etc.
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