I don’t disagree but what does this stat say.
Quad 1 wind OOC - top 7 MWC - 7
Quad 1 wins OOC - top 7 SEC teams - 5 (Tenn has 2)
Quad 1 wins OOC - top 7 PAC 12 teams - 5 (Arizona has 4)
Used top 7 from conference standings. We see these teams every year and know their flaws and can easily down play them.
Current consensus is SEC has 7 teams in, MWC has 6, PAC-12 has 2.
Do I think the MWC should get 6 teams in, no and I think it will be closer to 4 at the end. CSU will have tough time to get an at large finishing seventh. Boise has a very tough schedule left with UNM, UNR and @SDSU. UNR is bubble right now and will need to at least split against us and Boise to have a shot with Boise counting more. Utah State and SDSU are probably locks based on current ranking and remaining schedule. UNM needs a win at Utah State or Boise to feel good and for sure can’t lose to FSU, UNM has by far the worst OOC of any of these teams. Considering 4 of these teams are going to lose first round of the MWC tournament, I think the best MWC gets is 5 with a bubble team winning the tournament or 4 without that
As for UNLV, I am in the camp the only path to a bid is winning the tourney. Winning 5 and then losing still puts us on the wrong side.