POLL:11 games left !
- Thread starter Rebel_Luv
- Start date
5-6 is my guess, maybe more. I haven't really paid much attention this season, to be honest. I kinda wrote this season off.
Don’t worry. There will be excuses galore for reasons why we aren’t that good. But actually, we are good, we aren’t just seeing it the way some people say we need to be seeing it. .
6 of the 11 are away. ( IMO - all losses with the possible exception of a New Mexico win if New Mexico has lost as much grit and pride as we have)
Of the five home games I see 1 win, AF in a squeaker. ( Boise State, Co. State and Wyoming will be double digit losses. Reno sucks, but they appear to have some pride so I see a 5 point Rebel loss as this team appears to have no pride at all)
Of the five home games I see 1 win, AF in a squeaker. ( Boise State, Co. State and Wyoming will be double digit losses. Reno sucks, but they appear to have some pride so I see a 5 point Rebel loss as this team appears to have no pride at all)
This is going to get ugly.
Baker and Williams are out.
If I had money, I bet heavy on CSU.
Injuries are part of the sport. Kruger gets that first year pass that we’ve given to all first year coaches.
Baker and Williams are out.
If I had money, I bet heavy on CSU.
Injuries are part of the sport. Kruger gets that first year pass that we’ve given to all first year coaches.
And Hamm. Those three out? Just excuses. Rebs should win by 30. Just lazy.
I get your point. And I agree mostly.
But things weren't exactly going swimmingly with them...
They've had a few performances where they stunk up the joint at full strength...
Who upset them when they were at full strength?
What I am saying is that perhaps those were several factors.
Those who really expected a win at SDSU are deluded. Plus SDSU was steaming mad from dropping a turd their previous game., added to the UNLV fatigue and manpower.
Put it all together, perhaps it is explainable besides just laziness, or the team quitting.
Not excuses.
But. the knives are out. 3 starters out against a 16-1 CSU team at a very very tough place guarantees a big loss tonight. Just lazy players who have quit, I guess.
To be clear. I see the Rebels losing by at least 20 tonight. But not because they quit.
They are short handed, and, not as good as CSU, even at full strength.
What I am saying is that perhaps those were several factors.
Those who really expected a win at SDSU are deluded. Plus SDSU was steaming mad from dropping a turd their previous game., added to the UNLV fatigue and manpower.
Put it all together, perhaps it is explainable besides just laziness, or the team quitting.
Not excuses.
But. the knives are out. 3 starters out against a 16-1 CSU team at a very very tough place guarantees a big loss tonight. Just lazy players who have quit, I guess.
To be clear. I see the Rebels losing by at least 20 tonight. But not because they quit.
They are short handed, and, not as good as CSU, even at full strength.
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Let us enjoy this win as much as we suffered the SDSU loss.
Then remember that each was a single game.
Rebs won't go 9-1. Nor 1-9. How many wins? We shall see.
Then remember that each was a single game.
Rebs won't go 9-1. Nor 1-9. How many wins? We shall see.
5 and 2 with 4 to go. 2 road games at UNR and New Mexico. 2 home games with Wyoming and Boise St. I think we'll either go 4-0 at best or at worst 2-2. I don't think we'll lose more than 2. So we end the season 20-11 or 18-13. Not bad for a new coach and practically all new faces on the roster.
Things I like about this team: McCabe has been rock solid for us at the point, Hamilton's maturity in involving his teammates more with defenses keying on him more, our bigs love to mix it up in the paint and rarely float out to shoot 3's, and despite limited success throughout the season Nuga, Webster, Muoka and Baker still play hard when they get the chance. Oh and we really make a concerted effort to drive to the hoop rather than just settle for a ton of 3's. Good job CKK!
Things I like about this team: McCabe has been rock solid for us at the point, Hamilton's maturity in involving his teammates more with defenses keying on him more, our bigs love to mix it up in the paint and rarely float out to shoot 3's, and despite limited success throughout the season Nuga, Webster, Muoka and Baker still play hard when they get the chance. Oh and we really make a concerted effort to drive to the hoop rather than just settle for a ton of 3's. Good job CKK!
"Hamilton's maturity in involving his teammates more with defenses keying on him"
I think this is a huge reason for our newfound success. Hamilton buying in is showing that he's becoming high professional level - maybe not NBA, but definitely not small team third world country.
Here's a crazy thought but I think that Hamilton would do better with another year here versus going pro. I'm sure that his mind may be made up already but consider the national press he'd get in college which would help his brand more than declaring early. If he gets a national following by remaining in school one more season, that's free press, so to speak, and would benefit him greatly.
While he could go elsewhere to get into a bigger market (P5 school), I think he'd be best served by staying here since he has rapport with the coaches and his teammates. Ja Morant did well at a smaller school to build his name. Jimmer (I hate him, too), developed his national brand at a non-P5.
I think this is a huge reason for our newfound success. Hamilton buying in is showing that he's becoming high professional level - maybe not NBA, but definitely not small team third world country.
Here's a crazy thought but I think that Hamilton would do better with another year here versus going pro. I'm sure that his mind may be made up already but consider the national press he'd get in college which would help his brand more than declaring early. If he gets a national following by remaining in school one more season, that's free press, so to speak, and would benefit him greatly.
While he could go elsewhere to get into a bigger market (P5 school), I think he'd be best served by staying here since he has rapport with the coaches and his teammates. Ja Morant did well at a smaller school to build his name. Jimmer (I hate him, too), developed his national brand at a non-P5.
I think Hamilton signifcantly elevated his stock this year. Is it enough to get drafed? I wouldn't rule it out, but I wouldn't count on it. Definitely enough for him to get a bunch of workouts maybe an invite to the combine.
I agree to a certain extent that yet another year may help his prospects, but probably not enough to make it worth the risk.
He had national player of the week, is putting up some ridiculous numbers, often against some of our tougher competition. Trying to match or even exceed some of that by returning will be a tough ask.
I do think returning to UNLV vs transferring makes more sense if it comes down to that.
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The problem for him at this point may be his age. While we love having guys develop over 4 years, typically younger players have more value (more NBA league years/NBA development).
I was one of those who picked UNLV getting 7-9 wins out of the last 11 games, and they are currently 5-2 with 4 games left. I think the odds are very good that they go 3-1 or better. It is a far drop when I am looking for UNLV to finish with a record of 20-11 or 19-12 for the end of the regular season, and that is a significant jump over the last two coaches.
Currently Kenpom has UNLV ranked #83. UNLV has barely been in the top #100 since the third year of coach Rice, and I think if UNLV wins out the regular season they could reach the mid to low 60's. The only chance for UNLV to get into the tournament is for UNLV to win out the regular season and get to the championship with a very slim chance at an at-large bid, or win the tournament. An 11-3 record over the final 14 games would at least catch the eye of the selection committee compared to teams that have good records but are not playing as well. The following is the Kenpom ranking over last few years:
2021 #176 TJ
2020 #98 TJ
2019 #165 Marvin
2018 #107 Marvin
2017 #248 Marvin
2016 #117 Rice/Simin
2015 #102 Rice
2014 #79 Rice
2013 #38 Rice
2012 #37 Rice
2011 #29 Kruger
2010 #41 Kruger
Currently Kenpom has UNLV ranked #83. UNLV has barely been in the top #100 since the third year of coach Rice, and I think if UNLV wins out the regular season they could reach the mid to low 60's. The only chance for UNLV to get into the tournament is for UNLV to win out the regular season and get to the championship with a very slim chance at an at-large bid, or win the tournament. An 11-3 record over the final 14 games would at least catch the eye of the selection committee compared to teams that have good records but are not playing as well. The following is the Kenpom ranking over last few years:
2021 #176 TJ
2020 #98 TJ
2019 #165 Marvin
2018 #107 Marvin
2017 #248 Marvin
2016 #117 Rice/Simin
2015 #102 Rice
2014 #79 Rice
2013 #38 Rice
2012 #37 Rice
2011 #29 Kruger
2010 #41 Kruger
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I agree with this! Imagine if he did come back and play like this the entire year?!
Also if he came back we would only need one more guy who can create off the dribble to go with Hamilton and Williams next year.. Lindsay, Hamilton, Williams, McCabe and Muoka now that would be a pretty good starting 5!
If he left for the NBA I'd give him my blessing. He came back this year, he learned to involve his teammates, and he's been everything we all hoped he could be for the team. I'd hate to see his stock drop by staying another year and getting injured, regressing, or getting overshadowed by other players at his position.
WHEW!! i am glad no one took me up on that bet!
Yeaah baby! 1 down, 10 more to go!
